Showing posts with label Huckabee. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Huckabee. Show all posts

Tuesday, February 12, 2008

Huckabee: In or Out?

I have no idea what Governor Mike Huckabee is up to, but I think he should pack it in. I know he claims that, in college, he majored in miracles and not math. However, my guess is that the blind will see again and the lame walk before he gets enough delegates to win the nomination. Further, if it does come down to a brokered convention, my guess is the Republican powers-to-be would prefer a Mitt Romney over a Mike Huckabee; anyway.

Statistically, he would have to get nearly 90% of the vote from here on out. Sure, the winner take all states are possible "plums" that could get him closer to that improbable, possibility. However, those states where the delegates are apportioned as a percentage of votes earned, are just out of the question. There is no way that Huckabee is going to achieve a 90+ percentage of the vote in every remaining state that apportions their votes.

As Huckabee continues to contest the nomination, in state after state, he is forcing McCain, the presumptive winner, to use up more and more cash in pitting himself against Huckabee. And, that cash would be better served later on in the battle against the Democratic candidate. Romney realized this and bowed out for his own sake and for the sake of the Party's chances in the Fall. Huckabee just can't get it.

Wednesday, February 6, 2008

Tuesday's Winners and Losers

After the dust has now settled following Super Tuesday, I think the "biggest" winners of the day were Barack Obama, John McCain, and Mike Huckabee. The losers for the day were Hillary Clinton and Mitt Romney.

Certainly, with a literal tie in delegates, Barak Obama has now put Hillary Clinton on notice that she is losing ground. Hillary's only bright spot is that she won Massachusetts. That was a sweet victory because it proved that not even a "truckload" of Massachusetts Kennedy's could sway the state to vote for Obama. Based on the fact, one might even venture to think that the Kennedy's might have even impaired Obama from winning even more votes that night.

On the Republican side, Mitt Romney fell short; proving that money can't buy you love. He spent millions (especially in California) and he came up short. In fact, Huckabee, on a shoestring budget, has managed 142 delegates to Romney's 222. I don't know exactly how much Romney spent on getting those 222 delegates but I'll bet it is more than anyone in the history of politics. My guess it is he spent close to a half-million dollars per delegate. I think Romney's biggest problems were his past waffling on issues and his attack-dog tactics against McCain, Dole, and Huckabee. His ads over the last week went after Hillary Clinton as if he already had the nomination. He seemed to forget he had to overcome McCain and Huckabee before that fact ever was a reality. And, his religion, Mormon, may have had some minor influence on his loss, also. Certainly, his biggest percentage win, Utah, was only because of his religion.

I would be remiss in not mentioning another big loser for the night. That loser is the "right-wingers" of talk radio like Rush Limbaugh, Michael Reagan, and Laura Ingram and the right-wing madwoman, Ann Coulter. Their late-in-the-game efforts to promote Romney and defeat John McCain just didn't work. In fact, they may have shot themselves in the foot because the voting public may have reacted negatively to their tactics. I liken their stupidity to the tactics of Moveon.org to try and defeat Joe Lieberman in the last Senatorial election in Connecticut. Of course, Lieberman easily won as an Independent over that far-left machine that thought it could trample him. The far right and far left have to understand that the world doesn't believe in "their" extreme views. Sorry, Rush! Sorry, Ann!