On Thursday, September 26, the New York Times and CBS released the results of their joint polling in three critical swing states: Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. According to their polling, Obama now leads Romney by 10 points in Ohio; 9 points in Florida; and, 12 points in Pennsylvania. My problem is that, in the case of each of those states, Obama is doing better in this poll than he did in 2008 when he beat McCain. And, that's a little hard to believe with Obama's lousy record and lowered approval ratings.
In Ohio, for example, Obama won the state by only 4 points in 2008. Yet, the "Times" and CBS polling says that, if the elections were held today, he would win by 10 points. In Florida, Obama only beat McCain by 2-1/2 points. Now, in Pennsylvania, he did win big with an 11 point lead, but, can anyone really believe that the results will be better than they were in 2008? In reality, my bet is that Romney is actually quite close to Obama in each of those states; if not leading in at least two.
These three polls just prove that, once again, those two liberal media outlets are in the tank for Obama. The intent of showing him with such large leads is to discourage the Romney voter from wasting their time voting for someone that is going to lose, anyway. It is a form of voter suppression. And, it is disgusting.
References:
CBS: Poll: Obama opens substantial leads in key swing states: http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-250_162-57520341/poll-obama-opens-substantial-leads-in-key-swing-states/
New York Times: 2008 Ohio Election Results: http://elections.nytimes.com/2008/results/states/ohio.html
USA Today: 2008 Florida Election Results: http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/fl.htm
USA Today: 2008 Pennsylvania Election Results: http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/pa.htm
Showing posts with label Swing State. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Swing State. Show all posts
Friday, September 28, 2012
Saturday, August 11, 2012
CBS/New York Times Poll Is Skewed To Make Obama Look Better
The most recent CBS/NY Times poll has Obama leading Romney by significant numbers in Florida, Pennsylvania, and Ohio. But, this poll is dishonest and may be intentionally skewed to give the President a psychological advantage when it comes to public opinion.
If, for example, you just look at Pennsylvania, you would find that the CBS/NYT poll has Obama ahead by 11 points. This is surprising since in 2008 he only won this very liberal state by 10 points. Then, in 2010, out of 8.75 million registered voters, the Democrats comprised 48%, and the Republicans only 34%. That's a spread of 15 points. Yet, when all was said and done, Pennsylvania mostly voted Republican. The voters chose a Republican to be governor. A Republican became their newest U.S. Senator and, the U.S. House representation saw a 5 seat shift from Democrat to Republican. Exit polls showed a substantial falloff in party affiliation with only 40% saying they were Democrats and 37% Republican. Apparently, Democrats stayed at home in droves and independents sided with the Republicans. So, what 2010 proved is that registered voter polls mean nothing when it comes to election day. It all has to do with the level of party enthusiasm and voter turnout. Therefore, the results of all three of those polls could be highly exaggerated.
References:
http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2012/08/propaganda_poll_shows_obama_ahead.html
http://hearourvoices.us/post/2012/02/18/2012-Swing-State-Election-Analysis-Pennsylvania.aspx
If, for example, you just look at Pennsylvania, you would find that the CBS/NYT poll has Obama ahead by 11 points. This is surprising since in 2008 he only won this very liberal state by 10 points. Then, in 2010, out of 8.75 million registered voters, the Democrats comprised 48%, and the Republicans only 34%. That's a spread of 15 points. Yet, when all was said and done, Pennsylvania mostly voted Republican. The voters chose a Republican to be governor. A Republican became their newest U.S. Senator and, the U.S. House representation saw a 5 seat shift from Democrat to Republican. Exit polls showed a substantial falloff in party affiliation with only 40% saying they were Democrats and 37% Republican. Apparently, Democrats stayed at home in droves and independents sided with the Republicans. So, what 2010 proved is that registered voter polls mean nothing when it comes to election day. It all has to do with the level of party enthusiasm and voter turnout. Therefore, the results of all three of those polls could be highly exaggerated.
References:
http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2012/08/propaganda_poll_shows_obama_ahead.html
http://hearourvoices.us/post/2012/02/18/2012-Swing-State-Election-Analysis-Pennsylvania.aspx
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