Tuesday, November 10, 2015

Hillary Is Not Invincible Against Republicans

Among Democrats and Republicans, alike, Hillary Clinton is assumed to have a lock on the  Democratic nomination for President.  What is not so clear is whether or not she could beat whoever the Republicans match her up with.

As of this writing, Clinton only beats two potential Republican candidates in the average national polls at Real Clear Politics: Donald Trump by 2.2 point margin and Marco Rubio by just 6-tenths of a percent.  Understand, both these leads are within the margin of error of around 3 points.  Also understand that these leads are a result of a single NBC News/Wall St. Journal poll conducted from 10/25 to 10/29 that heavily skewed the numbers in favor of Hillary Clinton. For example, this is a screenshot for the Real Clear national match-up between Hillary and Marco Rubio:

Here's the screenshot for Clinton versus Trump:

Note: Click on either image to enlarge for clearer viewing

Among all other Republicans, Hillary loses; with Ben Carson leading with a 5.2 point spread win.

It is almost a year away from the Presidential election and a lot could happen.  But, the belief by many Democrat pundits that Hillary will get the nomination and win the election isn't that certain.


Real Clear Politics: 2016 Presidential Polls: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_presidential_race.html

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